Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Dowd 50.7% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 69.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.8%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Norris
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Norris
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Norris
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
55.2% (625)
+8.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
57.1% (7)
-7.1%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
38.2% (220)
+9.2%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Norris is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Norris shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Norris
Dowd
Home
62.2% (37)
53.7% (445)
Away
50.0% (20)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Norris
Dowd
P1
64.3%
48.8%
P2
59.1%
49.3%
P3
52.4%
54.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
57.9%
Dowd
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Josh Norris |