Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +18.4% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 61.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Cates 40.4% (+18.4%)
Offensive zone
Cates 50.1%
Defensive zone
Cates 53.6%
Neutral zone
Cates 51.4%
Result
Noah Cates favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Norris
Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
40.4% (841)
+23.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
42.4% (66)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
32.7% (147)
+14.7%
On even strength, Norris has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Norris is 61.9% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Norris shoots left. Cates is 39.3% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Norris
Cates
Home
62.2% (37)
38.2% (566)
Away
50.0% (20)
41.0% (488)
By Period
Norris
Cates
P1
64.3%
40.5%
P2
59.1%
42.4%
P3
52.4%
35.3%
Final 5 min
42.9%
36.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
39.5%