Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Cates shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Cates 45.1% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 83.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 73.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 72.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Norris
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Norris
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
46.7% (912)
+6.9%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
33.9% (56)
+22.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
35.0% (137)
+18.1%
On power play, Norris has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Cates is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (767).
Home / Away
Norris
Cates
Home
53.6% (373)
46.1% (521)
Away
54.1% (394)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Norris
Cates
P1
61.8%
48.0%
P2
51.7%
42.3%
P3
49.8%
44.3%
OT
27.3%
31.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:57 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Josh Norris |