Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.9% vs Carpenter 52.2% (+3.9%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 59.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 59.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 55.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.8%
51.8%
48.2%
Norris
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
63.9% (36)
53.1% (113)
+10.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
100.0% (1)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
60.0% (10)
-12.6%
On power play, Carpenter has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Norris is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (36).
Norris shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Norris
Carpenter
Home
62.2% (37)
58.5% (65)
Away
50.0% (20)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Norris
Carpenter
P1
64.3%
65.8%
P2
59.1%
50.0%
P3
52.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
42.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
57.9%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%