Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Carpenter 48.2% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Norris 73.6%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 68.1%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 53.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Norris
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
48.8% (404)
+3.4%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
100.0% (1)
-45.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
43.6% (101)
+3.1%
On power play, Carpenter has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Norris is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (206).
Norris shoots left. Carpenter is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Norris
Carpenter
Home
50.7% (351)
48.9% (274)
Away
54.0% (278)
46.6% (232)
By Period
Norris
Carpenter
P1
55.6%
51.9%
P2
49.3%
49.4%
P3
52.1%
41.8%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
47.8%