Josh Norris vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 60.1%
Defensive zone
Norris 69.5%
Neutral zone
Norris 56.6%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
50.3% (479)
+3.3%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
50.0% (28)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
30.0% (50)
+23.1%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.6% (373)
48.9% (270)
Away
54.1% (394)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
61.8%
48.7%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
49.8%
47.3%
OT
27.3%
36.4%
Final 5 min
55.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Josh Norris |