Josh Norris vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Norris 50.2%
Defensive zone
Norris 52.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
47.6% (231)
+2.4%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
83.3% (12)
-34.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
33.3% (21)
+9.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +34.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Norris shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.2% (193)
51.2% (164)
Away
51.6% (246)
43.0% (100)
By Period
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.8%
50.0%
P2
48.2%
46.2%
P3
47.9%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%