Josh Norris vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 57.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 63.6%
Neutral zone
Norris 62.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Norris 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
4
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
4
1
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
44.9% (8,756)
+7.6%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
50.7% (839)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
37.9% (879)
+7.5%
On even strength, Norris has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Norris shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.1% (1,856)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Norris
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.6%
45.1%
P2
51.4%
43.9%
P3
50.1%
45.3%
OT
40.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 3 | 13:56 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 7, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 07:37 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 17:52 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 17:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |