Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Couturier 54.5% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 53.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 72.9%
Neutral zone
Couturier 62.0%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 62.6%
37.4%
62.6%
Norris
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Norris
Couturier
Last 10: Norris 6-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Couturier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Couturier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
4
2
Norris
Couturier
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
57.4% (303)
-6.2%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
65.5% (55)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
40.0% (70)
-1.2%
On power play, Couturier has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Norris
Couturier
Home
55.6% (487)
54.3% (219)
Away
47.0% (549)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Norris
Couturier
P1
54.8%
53.2%
P2
51.3%
54.8%
P3
48.0%
57.9%
OT
33.3%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.4%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:43 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:12 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 15:21 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 13:40 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:25 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |