Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Couturier 53.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couturier 50.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 53.0%
Neutral zone
Couturier 52.2%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Norris
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Norris
Couturier
Last 8: Norris 4-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
0
2
Norris
Couturier
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Couturier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
3
2
Norris
Couturier
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
53.8% (1,003)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
56.4% (202)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
42.7% (89)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Couturier is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Norris
Couturier
Home
50.7% (351)
54.4% (680)
Away
54.0% (278)
52.4% (614)
By Period
Norris
Couturier
P1
55.6%
56.3%
P2
49.3%
51.8%
P3
52.1%
52.2%
OT
42.9%
60.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |