Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 52.6%). Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Couturier 52.6% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Couturier 51.5%
Defensive zone
Couturier 65.6%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.6%
Result
Sean Couturier favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Norris
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
16
(36 meetings)
20
16
Norris
Couturier
Last 10: Norris 5-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
8
4
Norris
Couturier
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
5
7
Norris
Couturier
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
7
5
Norris
Couturier
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,057)
52.5% (11,063)
+0.0%
Power Play
53.7% (404)
59.7% (1,280)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
48.5% (1,816)
-3.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Norris shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Norris
Couturier
Home
53.1% (1,856)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Norris
Couturier
P1
55.6%
52.5%
P2
51.4%
52.6%
P3
50.1%
52.9%
OT
40.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
53.3%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:19 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Jan 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |