Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.4% vs Aho 50.4% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Aho 63.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 67.1%
Neutral zone
Norris 50.9%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Norris
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (203)
50.5% (647)
-0.3%
Power Play
44.4% (36)
54.2% (131)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
38.1% (42)
+4.8%
On power play, Aho has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Norris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Norris shoots left. Aho is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Norris
Aho
Home
44.3% (115)
53.9% (445)
Away
53.4% (131)
46.4% (375)
By Period
Norris
Aho
P1
52.1%
48.7%
P2
50.0%
51.4%
P3
45.6%
50.8%
Final 5 min
39.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
49.2%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%