Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Aho 52.2% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 73.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 61.9%
Neutral zone
Norris 58.3%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Norris
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Norris
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
51.6% (819)
-0.4%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
58.4% (173)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
46.3% (67)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Norris
Aho
Home
55.6% (487)
53.9% (568)
Away
47.0% (549)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Norris
Aho
P1
54.8%
55.4%
P2
51.3%
51.2%
P3
48.0%
50.9%
OT
33.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
54.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 18:35 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 09:10 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Josh Norris |