Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Aho 53.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 62.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 60.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Norris
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Norris
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Norris
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
51.2% (785)
+1.0%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
63.8% (213)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
57.9% (57)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Norris
Aho
Home
50.7% (351)
54.9% (548)
Away
54.0% (278)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Norris
Aho
P1
55.6%
52.8%
P2
49.3%
58.9%
P3
52.1%
50.6%
OT
42.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 14:32 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |