Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 81.5%
Defensive zone
Norris 52.2%
Neutral zone
Norris 56.4%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Norris
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Norris
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (356)
47.2% (654)
+2.8%
Power Play
48.7% (76)
45.0% (20)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
32.2% (87)
+10.7%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Norris is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Norris shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Norris
Gourde
Home
47.2% (193)
44.1% (322)
Away
51.6% (246)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Norris
Gourde
P1
53.8%
42.4%
P2
48.2%
49.8%
P3
47.9%
44.3%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 01:31 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 19:30 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 12:48 | Neutral | Josh Norris |