Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Gourde 49.7% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 60.7%
Defensive zone
Norris 64.6%
Neutral zone
Norris 57.2%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Norris
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Norris
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
51.2% (469)
+2.4%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
42.9% (21)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
37.5% (48)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Gourde is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (358).
Home / Away
Norris
Gourde
Home
53.6% (373)
47.8% (301)
Away
54.1% (394)
51.9% (237)
By Period
Norris
Gourde
P1
61.8%
47.3%
P2
51.7%
53.4%
P3
49.8%
48.6%
OT
27.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
53.8%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:14 | Defensive | Josh Norris |