Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.9% vs Gourde 48.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 75.8%
Defensive zone
Norris 54.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 67.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Norris
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Norris
Gourde
Last 10: Norris 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
2
Norris
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Gourde
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
4
3
Norris
Gourde
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (542)
48.0% (914)
+4.2%
Power Play
54.4% (57)
54.2% (48)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (30)
43.9% (123)
+2.8%
On even strength, Norris has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Norris shoots left. Gourde is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Norris
Gourde
Home
50.7% (351)
50.2% (512)
Away
54.0% (278)
45.7% (573)
By Period
Norris
Gourde
P1
55.6%
50.0%
P2
49.3%
45.3%
P3
52.1%
48.6%
OT
42.9%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 16:01 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 12:20 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 06:38 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 19:03 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 14:47 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 17:21 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 2, 2023 | 1 | 10:27 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |