Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 51.0% vs Gourde 49.5% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 62.0%
Defensive zone
Norris 50.8%
Neutral zone
Norris 55.0%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Norris
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Norris
Gourde
Last 5: Norris 3-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (886)
49.1% (731)
+2.1%
Power Play
59.0% (83)
54.3% (81)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (67)
48.2% (85)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Norris is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Norris shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Norris
Gourde
Home
55.6% (487)
50.9% (479)
Away
47.0% (549)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Norris
Gourde
P1
54.8%
51.2%
P2
51.3%
49.8%
P3
48.0%
47.5%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
51.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2022 | 3 | 07:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 03:51 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 18, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |