Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 48.8% vs Cates 45.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 58.6%
Defensive zone
Danforth 74.7%
Neutral zone
Danforth 60.4%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Danforth
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Danforth
Cates
Last 6: Danforth 4-2 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danforth
Cates
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
2
0
Danforth
Cates
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Danforth
Cates
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (281)
44.3% (271)
+6.9%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
77.8% (18)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (67)
31.7% (41)
+4.1%
On power play, Cates has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Danforth shoots right. Cates is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Danforth
Cates
Home
52.0% (196)
52.0% (148)
Away
44.1% (161)
38.5% (182)
By Period
Danforth
Cates
P1
48.2%
42.7%
P2
52.8%
42.9%
P3
42.2%
48.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 18:24 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:45 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |