Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Cates 45.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danforth 70.3%
Defensive zone
Danforth 77.1%
Neutral zone
Danforth 70.7%
Result
Justin Danforth favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
Danforth
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Danforth
Cates
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Cates
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Cates
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
46.7% (912)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
33.9% (56)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
35.0% (137)
+8.6%
On power play, Danforth has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Danforth shoots right. Cates is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (338).
Home / Away
Danforth
Cates
Home
51.1% (315)
46.1% (521)
Away
48.0% (346)
43.3% (584)
By Period
Danforth
Cates
P1
49.5%
48.0%
P2
51.4%
42.3%
P3
46.6%
44.3%
OT
100.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
42.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Cates
46.0%▼
50.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |