Justin Danforth vs Noah Cates

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Justin Danforth holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Danforth 51.1% vs Cates 45.5% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone Cates 60.0%
Defensive zone Cates 59.1%
Neutral zone Cates 56.6%
Result Noah Cates favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Danforth Cates
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Danforth
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
78.9% (19)
45.4% (712)
+33.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
42.2% (102)
+57.8%
Penalty Kill
9.1% (11)
44.7% (47)
-35.6%
On power play, Danforth has a +57.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Cates shoots left. Danforth is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (21).
Danforth shoots right. Cates is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Home / Away
Danforth
Cates
Home
50.0% (24)
46.3% (423)
Away
71.4% (7)
43.6% (438)
By Period
Danforth
Cates
P1
55.6%
46.3%
P2
62.5%
47.1%
P3
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
75.0%
44.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%
51.5%
54.8%
Cates
46.0%
50.0%
44.9%