Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Danforth on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 48.8% vs Zacha 54.4% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 91.3%
Defensive zone
Zacha 56.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 71.1%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Danforth
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Danforth
Zacha
Last 6: Danforth 5-1 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Danforth
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
3
0
Danforth
Zacha
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (281)
53.9% (787)
-2.7%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
63.2% (193)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (67)
44.3% (88)
-8.5%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Danforth is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Danforth shoots right. Zacha is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (447).
Home / Away
Danforth
Zacha
Home
52.0% (196)
56.7% (538)
Away
44.1% (161)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Danforth
Zacha
P1
48.2%
52.6%
P2
52.8%
54.8%
P3
42.2%
56.8%
OT
83.3%
59.1%
Final 5 min
48.5%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |