Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.8% vs 49.1%). Look for Danforth on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.8% vs Zacha 49.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Danforth leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 67.6%
Defensive zone
Danforth 66.9%
Neutral zone
Danforth 52.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Danforth
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Danforth
Zacha
Last 10: Danforth 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
4
Danforth
Zacha
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
4
0
Danforth
Zacha
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (1,018)
48.9% (5,102)
+2.9%
Power Play
50.0% (36)
55.6% (804)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
40.1% (207)
42.2% (555)
-2.1%
On power play, Zacha has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Danforth is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (937).
Danforth shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Danforth
Zacha
Home
51.4% (619)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
48.3% (642)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Danforth
Zacha
P1
49.1%
49.9%
P2
51.4%
49.2%
P3
48.3%
48.1%
OT
64.3%
53.1%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.8%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:14 | Neutral | Justin Danforth |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:29 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |