Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Zacha 52.8% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 68.4%
Defensive zone
Danforth 81.7%
Neutral zone
Danforth 57.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Danforth
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Danforth
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Danforth
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danforth
1
0
Danforth
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
54.1% (534)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
56.0% (109)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
44.8% (96)
-1.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Danforth is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Danforth shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Danforth
Zacha
Home
51.1% (315)
53.4% (406)
Away
48.0% (346)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Danforth
Zacha
P1
49.5%
56.8%
P2
51.4%
53.6%
P3
46.6%
49.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Justin Danforth |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 13:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |