Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 52.5% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+5.3%)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 68.3%
Defensive zone
Danforth 55.1%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 54.1%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Danforth
Reinhart
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (162)
48.0% (275)
+6.3%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
48.1% (52)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
53.1% (32)
-1.2%
On even strength, Danforth has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Danforth is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Danforth shoots right. Reinhart is 57.6% vs right-shot opponents (85).
Home / Away
Danforth
Reinhart
Home
51.9% (81)
49.8% (201)
Away
55.1% (118)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Danforth
Reinhart
P1
49.2%
54.8%
P2
50.8%
40.5%
P3
62.9%
50.0%
OT
20.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
53.8%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%