Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Danforth wins 42.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 48.8% vs Reinhart 45.1% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 72.6%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 71.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 71.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Danforth
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Danforth
Reinhart
Last 5: Danforth 1-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
1
2
Danforth
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
2
Danforth
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (281)
44.6% (345)
+6.6%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
43.3% (97)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
35.8% (67)
43.2% (88)
-7.4%
On power play, Danforth has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Danforth is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Danforth shoots right. Reinhart is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Danforth
Reinhart
Home
52.0% (196)
47.9% (267)
Away
44.1% (161)
40.3% (263)
By Period
Danforth
Reinhart
P1
48.2%
45.6%
P2
52.8%
42.0%
P3
42.2%
45.4%
OT
83.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.5%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
48.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:46 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:58 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |