Scouting Report
Justin Danforth holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Danforth wins 46.8% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Danforth 49.5% vs Reinhart 42.7% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 68.8%
Defensive zone
Reinhart 65.4%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 64.7%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Danforth
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Danforth
Reinhart
Last 6: Danforth 2-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Danforth
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
2
Danforth
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Danforth
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (546)
44.1% (324)
+6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
40.3% (72)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (101)
33.9% (118)
+9.7%
On power play, Danforth has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Danforth is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Danforth shoots right. Reinhart is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
Danforth
Reinhart
Home
51.1% (315)
40.5% (232)
Away
48.0% (346)
41.8% (282)
By Period
Danforth
Reinhart
P1
49.5%
46.4%
P2
51.4%
32.6%
P3
46.6%
45.4%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Danforth
54.0%▲
51.5%
49.5%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:08 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 17:00 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Justin Danforth |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |