Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 50.7% vs Hartman 45.3% (+7.7%)
Offensive zone
Hartman 50.5%
Defensive zone
Hartman 67.9%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.5%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Dowling
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
44.8% (936)
+8.5%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
49.4% (154)
+0.6%
On even strength, Dowling has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dowling is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Dowling shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
Dowling
Hartman
Home
41.7% (12)
47.4% (568)
Away
57.1% (28)
42.4% (576)
By Period
Dowling
Hartman
P1
42.9%
47.2%
P2
60.0%
43.4%
P3
50.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
72.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.5%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%