Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.3% vs 47.8%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 48.7% vs Hartman 48.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 51.3%
Defensive zone
Hartman 53.7%
Neutral zone
Hartman 53.0%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Dowling
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dowling
Hartman
Last 6: Dowling 2-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
2
0
Dowling
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Dowling
Hartman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Dowling
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (318)
48.1% (520)
+0.6%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
44.7% (47)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
47.8% (23)
+2.2%
On power play, Hartman has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Dowling is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (104).
Dowling shoots left. Hartman is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Dowling
Hartman
Home
49.0% (145)
48.3% (360)
Away
47.8% (182)
47.0% (230)
By Period
Dowling
Hartman
P1
48.1%
48.5%
P2
49.1%
45.2%
P3
47.8%
49.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 31, 2025 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:10 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |