Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 50.7% vs Carrick 49.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowling 70.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 73.6%
Neutral zone
Dowling 50.9%
Result
Justin Dowling favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Dowling
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Dowling
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowling
1
0
Dowling
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
48.9% (352)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
81.3% (16)
-31.3%
On power play, Carrick has a +31.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dowling is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Dowling shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Dowling
Carrick
Home
41.7% (12)
46.9% (192)
Away
57.1% (28)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Dowling
Carrick
P1
42.9%
48.1%
P2
60.0%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
72.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Justin Dowling |