Justin Dowling vs Sam Carrick

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Carrick holds a +21.2% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Dowling 49.5% vs Carrick 53.8% (-21.2%)
Offensive zone Dowling 68.8%
Defensive zone Carrick 70.6%
Neutral zone Carrick 58.6%
Result Sam Carrick favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Dowling Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Dowling
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (3)
55.1% (439)
-21.8%
On even strength, Carrick has a +21.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Dowling is 0.0% vs right-shot opponents (2).
Dowling shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Dowling
Carrick
Home
100.0% (1)
58.2% (225)
Away
0.0% (2)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Dowling
Carrick
P1
33.3%
56.7%
Final 5 min
0.0%
54.5%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%
49.5%
33.3%
Carrick
56.0%
56.0%
54.5%