Scouting Report
Justin Dowling holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Dowling wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Lorentz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowling 50.7% vs Lorentz 47.6% (+7.0%)
Offensive zone
Lorentz 50.4%
Defensive zone
Lorentz 57.4%
Neutral zone
Lorentz 50.3%
Result
Steven Lorentz favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Dowling
Lorentz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowling
Lorentz
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (30)
46.5% (101)
+6.8%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On power play, Dowling has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lorentz shoots left. Dowling is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Dowling shoots left. Lorentz is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Dowling
Lorentz
Home
41.7% (12)
49.1% (53)
Away
57.1% (28)
42.4% (59)
By Period
Dowling
Lorentz
P1
42.9%
48.6%
P2
60.0%
36.7%
P3
50.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
72.7%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowling
54.0%▲
49.5%
52.5%
Lorentz
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.5%