Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Hayes 43.8% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 94.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 83.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 85.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 85.9%
85.9%
14.1%
Henrique
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Henrique
Hayes
Last 7: Henrique 6-1 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Hayes
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Hayes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (349)
42.7% (478)
+11.7%
Power Play
59.3% (135)
42.9% (98)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
45.2% (31)
+1.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Henrique is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (298).
Henrique shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Home / Away
Henrique
Hayes
Home
55.3% (237)
43.5% (232)
Away
55.8% (260)
42.4% (375)
By Period
Henrique
Hayes
P1
53.5%
40.1%
P2
64.8%
44.8%
P3
47.3%
42.4%
OT
58.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
54.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 06:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 2 | 06:42 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 11:04 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |