Scouting Report
Brayden Point holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Point 50.7% vs Hayes 49.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.4%
Defensive zone
Hayes 68.9%
Neutral zone
Hayes 65.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Point
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Point
Hayes
Last 7: Point 2-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Point
2
1
Point
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Point
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Point
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Point
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (728)
50.5% (764)
+0.2%
Power Play
53.3% (122)
53.3% (90)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (6)
38.6% (127)
-21.9%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Point shoots right. Hayes is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (333).
Home / Away
Point
Hayes
Home
50.7% (424)
49.0% (531)
Away
50.9% (432)
49.6% (450)
By Period
Point
Hayes
P1
45.5%
52.3%
P2
55.3%
45.8%
P3
53.0%
50.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
52.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Point
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 5, 2019 | 1 | 01:34 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 05:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 16:23 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 13:25 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Brayden Point |