Scouting Report
Chris Tierney holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Hayes 47.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 23-11 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Tierney 59.9%
Defensive zone
Tierney 80.7%
Neutral zone
Tierney 71.4%
Result
Chris Tierney favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Tierney
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
11
(34 meetings)
23
11
Tierney
Hayes
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
2
0
Tierney
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
9
4
Tierney
Hayes
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
12
7
Tierney
Hayes
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
47.5% (6,708)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
51.7% (702)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
45.3% (697)
+1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Tierney
Hayes
Home
50.6% (3,270)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Tierney
Hayes
P1
49.3%
47.5%
P2
47.7%
47.6%
P3
50.5%
47.9%
OT
47.4%
54.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2023 | 2 | 09:54 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 3 | 15:54 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 18, 2021 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:56 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 18:08 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:06 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 12:58 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 1 | 07:01 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 3 | 09:18 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 26, 2018 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |