Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Hayes 47.7% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 21-12 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 75.3%
Defensive zone
Hayes 60.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 64.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 65.8%
34.2%
65.8%
Lazar
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
21
(33 meetings)
12
21
Lazar
Hayes
Last 10: Lazar 3-7 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
6
Lazar
Hayes
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
6
Lazar
Hayes
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
9
Lazar
Hayes
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,658)
47.5% (6,708)
+2.7%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
51.7% (702)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
45.3% (697)
-3.4%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Lazar shoots right. Hayes is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,975).
Home / Away
Lazar
Hayes
Home
50.1% (1,542)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Lazar
Hayes
P1
48.9%
47.5%
P2
48.9%
47.6%
P3
49.5%
47.9%
OT
56.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
49.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:05 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 02:32 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 16:34 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:45 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 11:16 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 3, 2023 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 15:43 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 15:02 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 2 | 02:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 06:20 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |