Frederick Gaudreau vs Kevin Hayes
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 49.9% vs Hayes 56.3% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 92.5%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.1%
Neutral zone
Hayes 88.4%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
Gaudreau
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Gaudreau
Hayes
Last 5: Gaudreau 5-0 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
0
Gaudreau
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
0
Gaudreau
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (408)
56.6% (724)
-7.6%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
57.0% (79)
+11.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (114)
65.7% (35)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Gaudreau is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Gaudreau shoots right. Hayes is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Hayes
Home
50.8% (319)
58.0% (405)
Away
48.7% (228)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Gaudreau
Hayes
P1
53.4%
54.7%
P2
47.4%
55.7%
P3
50.0%
60.2%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2024 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:49 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 1 | 01:45 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |