Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 58.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 56.9% vs Hayes 51.7% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 76.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 67.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 66.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 70.5%
29.5%
70.5%
Drury
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Drury
Hayes
Last 6: Drury 2-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Drury
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Drury
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
2
0
Drury
Hayes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.9% (592)
51.6% (386)
+6.3%
Power Play
67.4% (46)
53.2% (47)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
52.8% (108)
60.0% (20)
-7.2%
On power play, Drury has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Drury is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Drury shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Drury
Hayes
Home
59.3% (364)
50.5% (200)
Away
56.3% (382)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Drury
Hayes
P1
53.9%
58.8%
P2
60.5%
49.3%
P3
58.3%
48.0%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:00 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 2 | 04:15 | Neutral | Jack Drury |