Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.0%). Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 49.8% vs Hayes 49.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Eichel 69.0%
Defensive zone
Hayes 56.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 60.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Eichel
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Eichel
Hayes
Last 10: Eichel 6-4 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
1
Eichel
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
6
Eichel
Hayes
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
3
0
Eichel
Hayes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (304)
48.7% (394)
-0.7%
Power Play
57.0% (86)
61.2% (49)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
34.3% (35)
-34.3%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +34.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Eichel is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Eichel shoots right. Hayes is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (255).
Home / Away
Eichel
Hayes
Home
52.1% (169)
50.6% (237)
Away
48.0% (223)
47.3% (241)
By Period
Eichel
Hayes
P1
44.7%
43.9%
P2
52.6%
47.3%
P3
51.8%
55.9%
OT
0.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | 2 | 02:03 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 28, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 13:15 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 03:41 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:21 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 08:35 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 00:13 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |