Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). Drouin wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drouin 44.5% vs Hayes 47.7% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Drouin 82.5%
Defensive zone
Drouin 50.6%
Neutral zone
Drouin 64.1%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Drouin
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Drouin
Hayes
Last 10: Drouin 2-8 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
3
2
Drouin
Hayes
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
9
Drouin
Hayes
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Drouin
Hayes
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drouin
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
43.5% (1,824)
47.5% (6,708)
-4.0%
Power Play
48.3% (387)
51.7% (702)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
39.1% (23)
45.3% (697)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Drouin is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,385).
Drouin shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Drouin
Hayes
Home
44.0% (1,041)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
44.5% (1,193)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Drouin
Hayes
P1
45.9%
47.5%
P2
42.0%
47.6%
P3
45.0%
47.9%
OT
47.1%
54.1%
Final 5 min
42.9%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
44.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 01:15 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 16:22 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 01:38 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 14:49 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 2 | 18:32 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 16:48 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 07:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |