Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.7% vs 48.5%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (55% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.7% vs Granlund 48.5% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Granlund 53.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.1%
Neutral zone
Granlund 50.6%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Hayes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
21
(41 meetings)
20
21
Hayes
Granlund
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
6
5
Hayes
Granlund
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
5
6
Hayes
Granlund
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
9
10
Hayes
Granlund
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (6,708)
48.5% (6,718)
-1.0%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
52.7% (748)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (697)
43.6% (635)
+1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Hayes shoots left. Granlund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (5,142).
Home / Away
Hayes
Granlund
Home
48.1% (3,982)
50.8% (3,884)
Away
47.3% (4,125)
46.3% (4,217)
By Period
Hayes
Granlund
P1
47.5%
48.7%
P2
47.6%
48.7%
P3
47.9%
48.2%
OT
54.1%
44.1%
Final 5 min
49.3%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |