Scouting Report
Mikael Granlund holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Granlund 47.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Granlund leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 56.1%
Defensive zone
Hayes 51.5%
Neutral zone
Hayes 56.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Hayes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Hayes
Granlund
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Hayes
Granlund
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Hayes
Granlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
3
Hayes
Granlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
47.7% (1,001)
-5.0%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
53.4% (73)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
40.2% (132)
+5.0%
On power play, Granlund has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Granlund is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Home / Away
Hayes
Granlund
Home
43.5% (232)
45.9% (582)
Away
42.4% (375)
48.4% (624)
By Period
Hayes
Granlund
P1
40.1%
48.6%
P2
44.8%
46.7%
P3
42.4%
46.9%
OT
80.0%
31.3%
Final 5 min
44.3%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 18:13 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:58 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 04:28 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 17:39 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 13:20 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 11:07 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |