Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Granlund 45.7% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 74.4%
Defensive zone
Granlund 52.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 62.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 63.4%
63.4%
36.6%
Hayes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Hayes
Granlund
Last 6: Hayes 4-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Granlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
46.8% (295)
+1.7%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
38.5% (26)
+14.8%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
36.5% (63)
+21.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +21.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Granlund is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (254).
Home / Away
Hayes
Granlund
Home
50.8% (313)
47.8% (178)
Away
48.2% (363)
41.7% (206)
By Period
Hayes
Granlund
P1
52.3%
44.7%
P2
47.7%
42.9%
P3
48.4%
45.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 17:10 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |