Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 51.7% vs Granlund 49.6% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 51.8%
Defensive zone
Granlund 65.4%
Neutral zone
Granlund 55.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Hayes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Hayes
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
Hayes
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
2
Hayes
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (386)
49.5% (588)
+2.1%
Power Play
53.2% (47)
60.5% (43)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (20)
45.2% (93)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Hayes shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Hayes
Granlund
Home
50.5% (200)
54.8% (305)
Away
53.4% (253)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Hayes
Granlund
P1
58.8%
43.8%
P2
49.3%
51.2%
P3
48.0%
53.9%
OT
66.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:44 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:04 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |