Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.3% vs Granlund 46.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 54.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 68.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 68.9%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Hayes
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Hayes
Granlund
Last 8: Hayes 5-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
4
0
Hayes
Granlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
3
Hayes
Granlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (764)
46.4% (235)
+4.1%
Power Play
53.3% (90)
43.6% (39)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (127)
21.4% (14)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Hayes is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (648).
Hayes shoots left. Granlund is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (182).
Home / Away
Hayes
Granlund
Home
49.0% (531)
42.0% (143)
Away
49.6% (450)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Hayes
Granlund
P1
52.3%
36.0%
P2
45.8%
44.2%
P3
50.2%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
52.7%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.2%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:04 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 13:26 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 11:03 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 01:59 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |