Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Hayes wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 46.1% vs Bonino 48.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 58.9%
Defensive zone
Hayes 62.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 60.8%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Hayes
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Hayes
Bonino
Last 10: Hayes 3-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Hayes
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
1
Hayes
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
4
Hayes
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (788)
48.7% (917)
-3.3%
Power Play
50.0% (56)
53.2% (94)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (124)
42.1% (202)
+3.1%
On even strength, Bonino has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Hayes is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Hayes shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bonino
Home
46.6% (459)
51.0% (629)
Away
44.8% (509)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Hayes
Bonino
P1
43.0%
49.0%
P2
49.5%
45.4%
P3
44.7%
50.2%
OT
28.6%
23.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
45.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2017 | 2 | 11:05 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 31, 2017 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 2 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:06 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2016 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 13:23 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 04:51 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 01:02 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |