Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Hayes wins 42.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 43.8% vs Bonino 51.2% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 64.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Hayes
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Hayes
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Hayes
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Hayes
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (478)
51.7% (777)
-9.0%
Power Play
42.9% (98)
60.0% (50)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (31)
43.9% (98)
+1.3%
On power play, Bonino has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Hayes is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (388).
Hayes shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bonino
Home
43.5% (232)
48.2% (461)
Away
42.4% (375)
54.5% (464)
By Period
Hayes
Bonino
P1
40.1%
54.1%
P2
44.8%
49.7%
P3
42.4%
50.7%
OT
80.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
42.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |