Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 47.8% vs Bonino 50.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 23-22 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Hayes 53.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 62.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 55.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Hayes
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
22
(45 meetings)
23
22
Hayes
Bonino
Last 10: Hayes 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
8
8
Hayes
Bonino
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
5
4
Hayes
Bonino
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Hayes
Bonino
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (6,698)
50.6% (8,315)
-3.0%
Power Play
51.7% (702)
54.1% (972)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (696)
44.6% (1,693)
+0.8%
On even strength, Bonino has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Hayes is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,126).
Hayes shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bonino
Home
48.1% (3,982)
51.2% (5,507)
Away
47.4% (4,114)
48.8% (5,480)
By Period
Hayes
Bonino
P1
47.5%
50.6%
P2
47.7%
48.5%
P3
47.9%
51.1%
OT
54.1%
45.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
47.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 15:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 2 | 14:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:10 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 1, 2019 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 17:55 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 03:21 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 02:55 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 03:59 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 2 | 01:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:43 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |