Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Bonino 48.5% (+1.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 68.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 74.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Hayes
Bonino
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
48.1% (324)
+0.4%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
57.9% (38)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
44.3% (88)
+14.0%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Hayes
Bonino
Home
50.8% (313)
52.0% (244)
Away
48.2% (363)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Hayes
Bonino
P1
52.3%
48.0%
P2
47.7%
42.9%
P3
48.4%
53.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%