Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.3%). Look for Hayes on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hayes 49.5% vs Cousins 49.6% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 54.0%
Defensive zone
Cousins 65.9%
Neutral zone
Cousins 51.9%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Hayes
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Hayes
Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
3
0
Hayes
Cousins
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
0
Hayes
Cousins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hayes
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (557)
49.3% (140)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.3% (107)
0.0% (1)
+53.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +53.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Hayes shoots left. Cousins is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Hayes
Cousins
Home
50.8% (313)
51.8% (83)
Away
48.2% (363)
45.9% (61)
By Period
Hayes
Cousins
P1
52.3%
52.9%
P2
47.7%
35.6%
P3
48.4%
58.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
49.4%
Cousins
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 2 | 09:37 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |